For our main Public Site, visit http://www.spacewx.com
For a limited time, we are freely demonstrating our new prototype solar-xray flare prediction product. A fully operational version is available from our Solar Irradiance Platform
This new additional to our highly successful operational Solar Irradiance Platform which provides real-time predictions of solar flares every 5-10 minutes, based on data from the GOES 0.1-0.8 nm X-ray flux data. The past 3-days of X-ray flux and prediction history is displayed with the predicted peak flux and the evolution flare decay times as soon as a flare is detected. In addition, predicted space weather-related impacts are updated, which affect communication, navigation, LEO and GEO spacecraft systems. Following is an example of the comparsion of data with predictions during high solar activity:
The flare evolution prediction model results (blue lines) compared with actual 1-minute GOES XUV 0.1-0.8 data for November 2-5, 2003 during a period of active solar activity. There are multiple predictions (using a 5-minute sliding window) for the historical 72-hour data. The flare and data values for every minute are shown, but the flares are calculated with data from a sliding 5-minute window to reduce processing time during operations. Since the plots are updated every 1 minute on the users web browser using data from SEC at about a 2-minute cadence, there will often be slight differences between successive plots from minute to minute as the 72-hour historical flares are calculated with slightly different dXhf/dt derived values. The current epoch is on the figure right edge.
Last Update: 30 Dec 2007